In this report ENTSOG and ENTSO-E propose the scenario storylines for TYNDP 2022. This publication is only the first step in the TYNDP scenario development process, which spans until the end of next year. This is further illustrated in the Figure 13.
Figure 13: Scenario building process
Next steps in the scenario building process are the following:
- The publication of this draft scenario storyline report marks the start of the official storyline consultation. A online consultation will be conducted between 3 November and 15 December 20201. Stakeholders are invited to share their opinion and give feedback on the proposals within this report. Your comments are greatly welcomed and are considered an essential part of the scenario development process
- With the consultation feedback received, ENTSOG and ENTSO-E will establish the final storylines to be developed into TYNDP scenarios. The final storyline report is expected to be published early 2021. In the meantime, ENTSOG and ENTSO-E will continue to development and improve methodologies needed to build the scenarios and datasets.
- After the final storylines are established, ENTSOG and ENTSO-E will perform the quantification and modelling needed to build the TYNDP 2022 scenarios. With this modelling the (qualitative) storylines will be translated into fully quantified scenarios. A draft scenario report including datasets is expected to be published mid-2021, as part of the next major public consultation phase.
- ENTSOG and ENTSO-E will use all consultation feedback to refine and establish the final quantified scenarios to be used in TYNDP 2022. The final scenario report is expected to be published in early 2022. The final scenarios feed into the TYNDP 2022 development process. The scenario datasets are used within the system needs assessment process and the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) for the PCI selection.