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Building Guidelines

TYNDP 2022 – Scenario Building Guidelines

Building Guidelines

The development of the scenarios builds on storylines and a methodology to translate the storylines into parameters and eventually figures. The TYNDP 2022 Scenario Building Guidelines provide full transparency on how the scenarios are developed and how the development of different demand technologies, generation and conversion capacities, renewable shares and all other parameters are considered.

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In a rapidly changing energy landscape and impacts due to geopolitical influences, the energy policies of the EU and many Member States are continuously developing.

The invasion of Ukraine by Russia on 24 February 2022 has led to a major overhaul of energy policy objectives in terms of energy security and diversification of supply that the TYNDP 2022 scenarios do not currently reflect.

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG would like to explain that due to these recent events affecting the energy supply in Europe, some assumptions used in this report regarding gas supply may be impacted for the short and longer terms.  

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG are committed to developing TYNDP scenarios that will support the European Union plans for energy infrastructure and to achieve the objectives of the EU Green Deal as well as the Paris Agreement, and to ensure a fair, affordable and secure transition towards a clean and decarbonised energy system. The TYNDP 2022 scenarios were developed over the last two years on this basis, and with extensive stakeholder engagement.

As for every TYNDP, the assessment of the EU’s dependence on the main gas supply sources and impact on the infrastructure will continue in TYNDP 2022 and is planned to be published at the end of the 2022.