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In a rapidly changing energy landscape and impacts due to geopolitical influences, the energy policies of the EU and many Member States are continuously developing.

The invasion of Ukraine by Russia on 24 February 2022 has led to a major overhaul of energy policy objectives in terms of energy security and diversification of supply that the TYNDP 2022 scenarios do not currently reflect.

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG would like to explain that due to these recent events affecting the energy supply in Europe, some assumptions used in this report regarding gas supply may be impacted for the short and longer terms.  

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG are committed to developing TYNDP scenarios that will support the European Union plans for energy infrastructure and to achieve the objectives of the EU Green Deal as well as the Paris Agreement, and to ensure a fair, affordable and secure transition towards a clean and decarbonised energy system. The TYNDP 2022 scenarios were developed over the last two years on this basis, and with extensive stakeholder engagement.

As for every TYNDP, the assessment of the EU’s dependence on the main gas supply sources and impact on the infrastructure will continue in TYNDP 2022 and is planned to be published at the end of the 2022.



TYNDP 2022 Scenario Report –
Version April 2022

  1. Executive summary
  2. Purpose of the scenario report
  3. Scenario descriptions and storylines
  4. Stakeholder engagement and how it shaped the scenarios
  5. Scenario results
  6. The cost of electricity
  7. Benchmarking
  8. Improvements in the TYNDP 2022 scenarios
  9. Next steps
  10. Glossary
Download Scenario Report (PDF)

TYNDP 2022 – Scenario Building Guidelines

Building Guidelines

The development of the scenarios builds on storylines and a methodology to translate the storylines into parameters and eventually figures. The TYNDP 2022 Scenario Building Guidelines provide full transparency on how the scenarios are developed and how the development of different demand technologies, generation and conversion capacities, renewable shares and all other parameters are considered.

Download Building Guidelines (PDF)

TYNDP 2022 Scenarios – Final Storyline Report

Final Storyline Report

  1. Introduction to TYNDP 2022 Scenarios
  2. Scenario framework and consultation scope
  3. Final scenario storylines for TYNDP 2022
  4. Storyline development methodology and scenario drivers
  5. Quantification of key parameter ranges
  6. Stakeholder engagement for the TYNDP 2022 storylines
  7. Next steps
Download Scenario Storylines (PDF)

TYNDP 2022 Scenario Report – additional Downloads:

TYNDP 2022 Draft Scenario Report (October 2021) – Downloads:


Use of Data

Market data can be used free of charge

The data published on this platform are deemed to be freely available and available to the public. The data can be downloaded and saved free of charge.

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG endeavour to allow the greatest freedom of use of the all data published under the framework of the TYNDP Scenarios. Therefore, all data that is published in the Visualisation Platform and Data files are released under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The same applies to any data requested such as hourly demand time series, which may not be shown on the website due to large files.

  • Download – you can download downloaded market data
  • Share – you can share and reproduce the data in any media and format, citing the source. “TYNDP 2022 Scenarios” should be used as the attribution.
  • Editing – downloaded data may be used in parts, put together and changed.

Further information on the Creative Common license can be found on the website